The next PolBeRG seminar will be held on Monday (04.04.) 15:30 (FT 908). For this occasion we will have a guest lecturer, Henrik Ekengren Oscarsson, who is a professor of Political Science at the University of Gothenburg and the co-director of Swedish Election Study. He will present a paper titled: “Finding the Tie-Breakers: The Formation of Consideration Set and Final Party Choice”. After the presentation, Martin Molder, a senior PhD student in Comparative Politics, will be discussing the paper.
Consideration set models of party choice (CSM) present an intriguing remedy to the many challenges of analyzing a highly individualized voting behavior in multi-party systems. The point of origin is that voters search for and utilize different kinds of political cues and information depending on the size and content of their consideration sets. A CSM approach allows us to isolate the impact of various factors at various stages in the decision process, i.e. the consideration set formation process and the final party choice. This paper introduces and discusses the main concepts of the CSM approach, identifies the fundamental challenges in measurement and estimation, and provides an empirical example using a specially designed seven-wave campaign panel covering the Swedish national election 2014.
Please find paper attached to this email. Bear in mind that this is a work in progress!
Hope to see many of you at seminar!