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Evidence-Based Policy-Making Seminar (EBPM): "(Predicting) replications and variation in new outcomes – which results generalize?”

Seminar
Picture of speaker.
Wednesday, March 20, 2024, 11:00 am – 12:30 pm

The EBPM Seminar Series at the Department of Public Policy brings external academics and practitioners to discuss their ongoing research. This event series prioritizes understanding how data, observations, and ultimately evidence is approached by each researcher. This time, along with the Department of Economics and Business, we bring Anna Dreber Almenberg to discuss her ongoing research. 

 

Abstract

What share of results replicate or generalize in different literatures in some of the experimental social sciences? I will discuss several large replication projects in mainly psychology and economics, where my coauthors and I have redone experiments published in high impact journals with new and larger samples to see whether the main result replicates. will also cover our studies on forecasting like prediction markets and forecasting surveys where researchers attempt to predict these replication outcomes and outcomes of new hypothesis tests, as well as recent work on multi-analyst projects and conceptual replications where we either ask researchers to test the same hypotheses on the same data or to design experiments testing the same hypothesis. 

 

About the Speaker

Anna Dreber Almenberg is a professor of economics at the Stockholm School of Economics mainly doing meta-science and behavioral and experimental economics. She is also the Editor at the recently launched Journal of Political Economy Microeconomics and an Associate Editor at the Journal of Political Economy. Anna is a Wallenberg Scholar, a member of the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences (KVA), and a member of the Royal Swedish Academy of Engineering Sciences (IVA). She is also affiliated with the Department of Economics at the University of Innsbruck and the Credence Goods, Incentives and Behavior group.